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I'm pretty sure new P1 will not be so slow as in the intention of ACO. The lack of downforce will be gained in different ways, engineers only need time to maximize aerodynamics of the car. Car will be also lighter, and a more powerful hybrid system will help it in acceleration. Together with a narrower body and a higher top-speed, this will help to compensate the lack of downforce. I think P1 will be lightyears within 3:30 limit. If I had to make a prediction, I would say 3:25 or so.
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