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A lot depends on how Toyota perform, if they get it right this year and JT and RS keep it in the right direction, they will enormously increase their score compared to 2004.
That would make 12 'works' cars fighting over 8 places before we count in Sauber who have a good finishing record and will probably build a better can than RBR and have Ferrari power again.
It won't be easy for RBR to score, but circumstances can change during races. However, I believe it will be the hardest year for 'non-works' cars to score points (certainly substantial ones) for several years.
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