A quick note to update probabilities just before this second last race:
MotoGP:
MIR 99%
QUA 1%
Moto2:
BAS 60%
LOW 31%
MARI 8%
BEZ 1%
Moto3:
ARE 55%
OGU 30%
VIE 10%
ARB 4%
MAS 1%
The rest of them have less than 1% of probabilities, although some of them have a theoretical possibility (like Rins, Vinales, Morbi, Dovi, McPhee, Fernandez).
Basically:
--Mir is super solid
--Basti and Lowes will fight for the title, with a side chance for Marini
--Arenas, Ogura and perhaps Vieti will fight for the title, with a side chance for Toni.
Let's see what happens in a few hours... I foresee some laughs and tears will happen...
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