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#51 | |
Racer
Join Date: Dec 2015
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98 6:00:09.854
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#52 | |
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Not posting here much because I have nothing to add, but I am following this. I like stats.
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#53 | ||
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Sorry, I got distracted with the race!
After 108 laps the projection is 381. ![]() |
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#54 | ||
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#55 | |
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My estimation based on the median after hour 6 is still at 399. Let's see what hour 7 will bring...
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#56 | ||
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#57 | |
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The median is catching up (down?) and should be at 393 after hour 7...
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#58 | |
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Join Date: Dec 2015
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Hour 7 is earlier again
112 7:01:18.524 |
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#59 | ||
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2018 was 111 7:02:16.095
2019 projection 383. |
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#60 | |
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#61 | |
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Hats of to both you. Very good work. I'm enjoying it very much
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#62 | |||
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Quote:
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#63 | ||
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Projection after 126 laps: 385 laps.
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#64 | |
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So it's rising slowly again
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#65 | |
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Let's hope for a green nighttime!
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#66 | ||
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#67 | ||
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Hour 8.
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#68 | |
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#69 | ||
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I think that one or two more pace car FCYs may shoot the distance record in the foot.
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#70 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Hour 10
Sorry, been chatting on facetime with a mate watching the race. We had a couple of beers.
Anyway, we are falling behind slowly, but surely...
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#71 | ||
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Hour 11. Slip sliding away.
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#72 | |
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#73 | |||
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Quote:
I like your stuff with the different scenarios. That has demonstrated it is over. |
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#74 | |
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I'll keep on updating the data, though. In the second half of the race, the different estimates should slowly converge towards the same value.
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#75 | ||
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188 at almost the exact time it went to 12 hours. So super simple maths says 376 is on.
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